Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 190.5 | 96% |
| 1Q O/U 43.5 | 95% |
| O/U 192.5 | 94% |
| 1H O/U 93.5 | 94% |
| O/U 194.5 | 93% |
| 1H O/U 95.5 | 92% |
| 1Q O/U 45.5 | 92% |
| O/U 196.5 | 91% |
| O/U 198.5 | 89% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 88% |
| 1H O/U 97.5 | 88% |
| O/U 200.5 | 87% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 87% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 87% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5 | 86% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 86% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 9.5 | 86% |
| 1H O/U 99.5 | 85% |
| Thunder O/U 96.5 | 85% |
| O/U 202.5 | 84% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 14.5 | 84% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 84% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 83% |
| O/U 204.5 | 82% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 9.5 | 82% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 81% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 80% |
| Thunder O/U 98.5 | 80% |
| O/U 206.5 | 78% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 78% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 77% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 1.5 | 77% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| Thunder O/U 100.5 | 76% |
| Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 1.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 75% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| O/U 208.5 | 74% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 9.5 | 74% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 73% |
| 2Q O/U 50.5 | 71% |
| O/U 210.5 | 70% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 3.5 | 70% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 70% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 70% |
| Thunder O/U 102.5 | 70% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 68% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5 | 67% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 67% |
| Marcus Smart: Steals O/U 0.5 | 67% |
| O/U 212.5 | 66% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 65% |
| Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 65% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 63% |
| Jared McCain: Assists O/U 1.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 63% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 63% |
| Thunder O/U 104.5 | 63% |
| Alperen Sengün: Steals O/U 0.5 | 63% |
| Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 62% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 62% |
| O/U 214.5 | 61% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 61% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 59% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 14.5 | 58% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 57% |
| Thunder O/U 106.5 | 57% |
| O/U 216.5 | 56% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 51.5 | 56% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| O/U 217.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 55% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 55% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 54% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| O/U 218.5 | 53% |
| Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 54.5 | 53% |
| Rockets O/U 110.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 53% |
| Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 52% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 51% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 52.5 | 51% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 50.5 | 51% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| O/U 219.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 107.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 105.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 103.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 119.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 101.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 99.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Bennett Stirtz: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylin Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaylin Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jaylin Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 49% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Thunder O/U 108.5 | 49% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jaylin Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| O/U 220.5 | 48% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 48% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 55.5 | 48% |
| Race to 10 | 47% |
| Race to 20 | 47% |
| Race to 30 | 47% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Bennett Stirtz: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Kenrich Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Bennett Stirtz: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 56.5 | 47% |
| Marcus Smart: Points O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Marcus Smart: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 58.5 | 47% |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 47% |
| Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 46% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Aday Mara: Points O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5 | 45% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 45% |
| Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 45% |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 57.5 | 45% |
| Alperen Sengün: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 44% |
| 1H Moneyline | 44% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 44% |
| Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Jaylin Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Thunder vs. Rockets | 43% |
| O/U 222.5 | 43% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 43% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Jared McCain: Assists O/U 2.5 | 43% |
| Aday Mara: Points O/U 4.5 | 43% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 42% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| Thunder O/U 110.5 | 42% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5 | 41% |
| Bennett Stirtz: Points O/U 4.5 | 41% |
| Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Kenrich Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Marcus Smart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 34.5 | 40% |
| Tari Eason: Steals O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Jaylin Williams: Points O/U 4.5 | 40% |
| Bennett Stirtz: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| O/U 224.5 | 39% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5 | 39% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 39% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 4.5 | 38% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 34.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 38% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 24.5 | 37% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 37% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Aday Mara: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 37% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 36% |
| Thunder O/U 112.5 | 36% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 36% |
| Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| O/U 226.5 | 35% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Kenrich Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 35% |
| Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 29.5 | 32% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 32% |
| O/U 228.5 | 31% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 31% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 31% |
| Kevin Durant: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 31% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 31% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5 | 30% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 39.5 | 30% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| Thunder O/U 114.5 | 30% |
| Alperen Sengün: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 30% |
| Spread -9.5 | 29% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 29% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 28% |
| Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| O/U 230.5 | 27% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 44.5 | 27% |
| Marcus Smart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 26% |
| Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Thunder O/U 116.5 | 25% |
| Tari Eason: Steals O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Jaylin Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| Aday Mara: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 24% |
| O/U 232.5 | 23% |
| Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| Marcus Smart: Steals O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| Spread -12.5 | 22% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 22% |
| Jared McCain: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 29.5 | 21% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 21% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 24.5 | 21% |
| Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 20% |
| Thunder O/U 118.5 | 20% |
| O/U 234.5 | 19% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | 19% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Aday Mara: Points O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Bennett Stirtz: Points O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Spread -14.5 | 18% |
| Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 34.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 18% |
| Alperen Sengün: Steals O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| O/U 236.5 | 17% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Jaylin Williams: Points O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 16% |
| Marcus Smart: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Kevin Durant: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 16% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 16% |
| Alperen Sengün: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 15% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -11.5 | 14% |
| O/U 238.5 | 14% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 14% |
| Thunder O/U 120.5 | 14% |
| Marcus Smart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Aday Mara: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Tari Eason: Steals O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 12% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 12% |
| Marcus Smart: Steals O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Spread -18.5 | 11% |
| O/U 240.5 | 11% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 11% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Alperen Sengün: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 11% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Kenrich Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 10% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Bennett Stirtz: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Spread -15.5 | 9% |
| O/U 242.5 | 9% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| O/U 244.5 | 8% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Alperen Sengün: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Alperen Sengün: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| Marcus Smart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Spread -22.5 | 6% |
| O/U 246.5 | 6% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 39.5 | 6% |
| Aday Mara: Points O/U 14.5 | 6% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Kevin Durant: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 6% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Spread -24.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 29.5 | 5% |
| Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 5% |
| Alperen Sengün: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 5% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| Jared McCain: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Marcus Smart: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Marcus Smart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Spread -26.5 | 3% |
| Spread -28.5 | 3% |
| Spread -23.5 | 3% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -30.5 | 2% |
| Spread -32.5 | 2% |
Market context
Market consensus: 96% chance of thunder vs. rockets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 31 at 8:30PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Rockets".…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.2M.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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