Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Indiana 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Indiana 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 100% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 100% |
| Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Indiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Indiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota vs. Indiana: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Minnesota O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Minnesota vs. Indiana: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Minnesota vs. Indiana | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| O/U 41.5 | 0% |
| O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Indiana O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Indiana O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Indiana O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Indiana O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Indiana O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota 2H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| Minnesota vs. Indiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota vs. Indiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota vs. Indiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota vs. Indiana: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| Spread -23.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -25.5 | 0% |
| Spread -26.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -28.5 | 0% |
| Spread -30.5 | 0% |
| Spread -33.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| Spread -36.5 | 0% |
| Spread -37.5 | 0% |
| Spread -40.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| Indiana O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to minnesota vs. indiana. In the upcoming college football game between Minnesota and Indiana, scheduled for October 31 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota" if Minnesota win the game. This market will resolve …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.5M.
Methodology
This page reviews Minnesota vs. Indiana across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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