Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5) | 50% G2 Esports | 50% XLG Gaming |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 5% Over | 95% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5) | 0% G2 Esports | 100% XLG Gaming |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% G2 Esports | 0% XLG Gaming |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% G2 Esports | 100% XLG Gaming |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: g2 esports vs xlg gaming (bo3) - vct masters london playoffs stands at 50% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between G2 Esports and XLG Gaming in the VCT Masters London Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 13 at 1:00P…
Methodology
We track Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Maste… on Kalshi UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Kalshi UK →