Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 22.5 | 96% |
| O/U 24.5 | 95% |
| O/U 26.5 | 92% |
| Panthers O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| O/U 28.5 | 90% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 90% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 90% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 6.5 | 89% |
| Panthers O/U 12.5 | 88% |
| Falcons O/U 10.5 | 87% |
| O/U 30.5 | 86% |
| Panthers O/U 13.5 | 85% |
| Falcons O/U 12.5 | 84% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| O/U 32.5 | 82% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| Falcons O/U 13.5 | 80% |
| Panthers O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 6.5 | 77% |
| O/U 34.5 | 76% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 76% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 76% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 6.5 | 74% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 6.5 | 73% |
| O/U 36.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 72% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 72% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 70% |
| Falcons O/U 16.5 | 70% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| O/U 38.5 | 66% |
| Panthers O/U 19.5 | 66% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 65% |
| O/U 39.5 | 63% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 62% |
| O/U 40.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 59% |
| Panthers O/U 20.5 | 59% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 57% |
| O/U 41.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Falcons O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| Panthers vs. Falcons | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| O/U 42.5 | 53% |
| Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 1H Moneyline | 53% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 52% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Panthers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Falcons Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 49% |
| Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Spread -21.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Panthers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 47% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 12.5 | 47% |
| O/U 44.5 | 46% |
| Panthers O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| O/U 45.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 12.5 | 42% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| O/U 46.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 12.5 | 40% |
| Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 10.5 | 39% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 39% |
| Spread -5.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Falcons O/U 23.5 | 38% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 38% |
| Falcons Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 12.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| O/U 48.5 | 35% |
| Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 34% |
| Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 33% |
| Panthers O/U 26.5 | 33% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 13.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 13.5 | 31% |
| O/U 50.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Panthers O/U 27.5 | 28% |
| Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| Falcons O/U 26.5 | 27% |
| O/U 52.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 25% |
| Spread -20.5 | 24% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 24% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 16.5 | 24% |
| Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 22% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 1-6 | 22% |
| O/U 54.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Falcons O/U 27.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 20% |
| Panthers O/U 30.5 | 20% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 7-12 | 20% |
| Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 19% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 16.5 | 19% |
| Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 17.5 | 18% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 16.5 | 18% |
| O/U 56.5 | 17% |
| Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 13-18 | 17% |
| Spread -14.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 16.5 | 16% |
| Spread -19.5 | 15% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Falcons O/U 30.5 | 14% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 17.5 | 14% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 1-6 | 14% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 7-13 | 14% |
| O/U 58.5 | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 19-24 | 13% |
| Panthers vs. Falcons: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 17.5 | 12% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 17.5 | 12% |
| Spread -19.5 | 11% |
| Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Panthers O/U 34.5 | 11% |
| O/U 60.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 14-20 | 9% |
| Safety? | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Falcons O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 20.5 | 8% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 20.5 | 8% |
| O/U 62.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 21+ | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| O/U 64.5 | 6% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 20.5 | 6% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 25+ | 6% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 4% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 1% |
Market context
The Panthers vs. Falcons prediction market currently prices this outcome at 96% YES. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00PM ET: If Panthers wins, the market will resolve to "Panthers". If Falcons wins, the market will resolve to "Falcons". If the game is postpo…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $3.1M.
Methodology
This page reviews Panthers vs. Falcons across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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