Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 51% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 10% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is currently pricing the Cloud9 v Dignitas best-of-three at **0% YES**, which on this contract means the market is implying no live probability for Cloud9 to resolve as the winner in the current order flow. Because the contract settles via **USDC** on **Polygon** using conditional tokens, the key practical point for users is that the market will resolve to the listed winner only if the match is officially completed with a result; a cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days pushes it to 50-50 under the market rules.
Historically, this pairing has been one-sided for Cloud9. Recent head-to-head records in match databases show Cloud9 winning the latest 2026 meeting 2–1, and several broader head-to-head summaries put Cloud9 well ahead across the rivalry, with Dignitas taking very few, if any, series in the tracked sample.[4][6][8][11][12] That context matters for reading a zero price: it is less a statement that Dignitas are stronger on paper than a sign that the contract may already be stale, mispriced, or sitting after the market has effectively stopped responding to the matchup.
A trader should watch for official LCS scheduling updates, roster or substitute announcements, and any league-side delay notices, because those determine whether the best-of-three is actually played and whether the contract can resolve normally. The match was initially scheduled for 1 August at 4:00 pm ET, and a live match listing exists for Cloud9 v Dignitas on that date.[1] If the series slips, is abandoned, or starts but cannot finish, the settlement mechanics become more important than the team matchup itself, since the market’s fallback outcome is defined by the event status rather than the scoreboard.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season on Kalshi UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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