Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
43% | 57% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
43% | 57% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics | 43% Colorado Rockies | 57% Athletics |
| NRFI | 66% YES | 35% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% Athletics | 56% Colorado Rockies |
| O/U 13.5 | 57% Over | 43% Under |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 19% Colorado Rockies | 81% Athletics |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 40% Athletics | 60% Colorado Rockies |
Market context
The Colorado Rockies face the Oakland Athletics on 13 June at 10:05 PM ET in an interleague matchup. Polymarket currently prices a Rockies victory at 43%, implying roughly even odds with a slight lean towards the Athletics. The settlement window extends to 21 June, allowing for postponements common in early summer baseball schedules. On-chain, this conditional token pair trades on Polygon with USDC collateral, meaning traders holding YES tokens benefit from a Rockies win whilst NO holders profit from an Athletics victory.
Historically, the Rockies' home-field advantage at Coors Field has been material—they've won roughly 55% of games there over recent seasons, though this fixture occurs in Oakland. The Athletics' 2024 rebuild has produced inconsistent results; they rank near the bottom of the AL West in most offensive metrics. When comparable matchups between rebuilding teams and mid-tier contenders have occurred, the market typically prices the more established roster slightly higher, though the 43% Rockies probability suggests traders view this as genuinely competitive.
Pitching assignments and injury reports released in the days before 13 June will be critical. The Rockies' rotation depth has been a weakness, whilst the Athletics' bullpen usage patterns—often stretched thin in close games—create late-inning volatility. Weather conditions at Oakland Coliseum, where cooler June temperatures suppress fly-ball distances, may favour the Athletics' weaker offensive profile. Any roster moves or roster decisions announced after market open could shift conditional token prices materially.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $241K.
Methodology
This page reviews Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
- Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics on Kalshi UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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