Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score

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Market context

Haiti and Scotland will meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Polymarket currently prices this contract at 0% implied probability across all listed scorelines, reflecting either extremely low liquidity, a technical settlement issue, or traders' assessment that the most common outcomes fall outside the enumerated options and would instead resolve to "Any Other Score."

Historical precedent suggests caution when reading zero-probability markets in sports. The 2022 World Cup saw numerous upsets and unexpected scorelines—Saudi Arabia's 2–1 victory over Argentina and Japan's 2–1 win against Germany both occurred despite pre-tournament expectations. Haiti qualified for the 2026 tournament for only the second time in their history; Scotland has qualified for three consecutive World Cups but has not advanced from the group stage since 1998. Head-to-head records between these nations are sparse, and their recent competitive form differs markedly, yet exact-score markets often concentrate probability mass on narrow outcomes (1–0, 2–1, 2–0) rather than distributing evenly across all possibilities.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates from both federations as June approaches. Scotland's recent Nations League and Euro qualifying performances provide form data; Haiti's preparation will depend on their domestic league schedule and any friendlies scheduled before the tournament. The settlement window closes 14 June at 01:00 UTC, allowing roughly 24 hours post-match for official confirmation. Any fixture postponement would extend the market's duration, and cancellation without rescheduling would trigger resolution to "Any Other Score."

Methodology

This page reviews Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.