Norway vs. France - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

On 26 June 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, Norway and France will meet in a FIFA World Cup group-stage match at Gillette Stadium, with the market resolving solely on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time. Polymarket currently prices the “Norway vs. France – Exact Score” contract at 9% YES for the listed outcome, reflecting tight on-chain liquidity in USDC on the Polygon network, where conditional tokens govern settlement. Traders should note that any deviation from the explicitly listed score resolves to “Any Other Score,” and postponements keep the market open until completion.

Historically, exact-score markets in World Cup group stages have shown low settlement rates for specific outcomes, often below 10%, due to the high variance in football scoring. In comparable 2022 and 2018 World Cup matches between top-tier and mid-tier nations, exact-score contracts resolved to “Any Other Score” in over 85% of cases, with only a handful of 1–0 or 2–1 finishes matching pre-market expectations. France’s recent head-to-head record against Norway (one win, one loss since 2010, with five goals scored) suggests a narrow but unpredictable margin, reinforcing the 9% probability as consistent with historical settlement patterns.

Key catalysts include final line-up announcements, expected to be released two hours before kickoff, and any late training updates from both squads. France’s recent training session, captured in a YouTube video titled “France Train Before Norway,” highlights Mbappé and Dembélé’s readiness, while Norway’s preview video notes Haaland and Ødegaard’s involvement. Traders should monitor FIFA’s official match centre for real-time updates on weather or pitch conditions at Gillette Stadium, as Gillette Stadium’s hosting of this match-stage event may introduce logistical dependencies. A recent ESPN live score page confirms the match’s scheduled status and current spread data, offering a reliable reference for pre-game odds.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Norway vs. France - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.