Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) | 90% FUT Esports | 10% Team Vitality |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 10% Over | 90% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5) | 90% FUT Esports | 10% Team Vitality |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs Team Vitality (+4.5) | 90% FUT Esports | 10% Team Vitality |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5) | 10% FUT Esports | 91% Team Vitality |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 90% Over | 10% Under |
Market context
Team Vitality face FUT Esports in the second round of VCT Masters London's group stage on 8 June at 10:00 AM ET. The Polymarket contract currently prices Vitality's victory at 90 cents per share, reflecting substantial confidence in the French organisation's ability to advance. Settlement hinges on a completed match result by 20:00 UTC on 8 June; cancellation, ties, or delays exceeding seven days without resolution trigger a 50-50 split of the conditional USDC pool across both outcome tokens on Polygon.
Vitality's dominance in European Valorant provides historical grounding for the elevated probability. The team secured first place at VCT 2024 Champions and has maintained roster consistency with players including Derke and Leo, establishing them as favourites in any regional matchup. FUT Esports, by contrast, qualified through the EMEA Last Chance Qualifier and lack comparable tournament pedigree at this tier. Previous Masters events show European powerhouses typically convert such advantages into wins, though upsets remain possible when preparation gaps or tactical innovation favour underdogs.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding player availability and any schedule adjustments from Riot Games in the week preceding the match. Fixture congestion within the group stage could affect preparation time, whilst roster changes or illness would materially shift the probability. Recent VCT coverage from esports news outlets should clarify any last-minute roster confirmations or coaching adjustments that might indicate tactical shifts favourable to FUT.
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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