LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Vivo Keyd Stars face RED Canids in the Upper Bracket Final of the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs, a best-of-three League of Legends match scheduled for 11 June at 2:00PM ET. The winner advances directly to the grand final and secures qualification for the international Esports World Cup tournament. Polymarket currently prices this contract at 0% YES, implying zero probability assigned to a Vivo Keyd Stars victory—an extreme edge case that typically reflects either missing liquidity, a technical pricing artefact, or genuine market consensus that the match will not resolve as specified.

Historically, South American League of Legends has seen RED Canids establish themselves as the region's most consistent performer in recent years, with multiple championship titles and consistent international representation. Vivo Keyd Stars, whilst competitive, have typically finished behind RED Canids in head-to-head regional matchups. The 0% pricing suggests traders may be discounting Vivo Keyd Stars' chances entirely, though this extreme probability is unusual for a match between two established regional competitors and warrants scrutiny of whether the contract's resolution criteria are being priced as unusually risky.

Traders should monitor the official Esports World Cup schedule for any postponements or cancellations, as the settlement window extends to 12 June and the contract resolves 50-50 if the match is delayed beyond seven days without a winner. Confirmation of both teams' roster stability and any last-minute coaching changes in the days before the match could shift the underlying competitive balance, though current market pricing leaves little room for such adjustments to be reflected in conditional token valuations.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.