Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Vivo Keyd Stars | 0% LOS |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% Vivo Keyd Stars | 100% LOS |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% Vivo Keyd Stars | 50% LOS |
| Match Winner | 0% Vivo Keyd Stars | 100% LOS |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5) | 0% LOS | 100% Vivo Keyd Stars |
Market context
Vivo Keyd Stars face LOS in the Lower Bracket Final of the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs, a best-of-three League of Legends match scheduled for 13 June at 12:00 PM ET. The winner advances to the regional finals with qualification stakes for the broader EWC tournament structure. Polymarket currently prices this contract at 100% YES for Vivo Keyd Stars, reflecting either extreme confidence in their victory or insufficient liquidity to establish a meaningful two-sided market. USDC settlement on Polygon means traders holding conditional YES tokens face no ambiguity on payout mechanics—the contract resolves binary unless the match is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days, or ends without a decisive result.
South American League of Legends competitive history shows Vivo Keyd Stars as a consistently strong regional performer, though LOS has demonstrated capacity to upset favoured opponents in lower-bracket scenarios. Recent CBLOL and regional qualifier results suggest both teams operate within a narrow skill band, making the 100% pricing suspect from a fundamental standpoint. Teams in similar positions typically trade 60–75% for the higher-seeded competitor when bracket position and recent form are factored.
Traders should monitor official CBLOL and EWC communications for any schedule adjustments or technical issues that might trigger the seven-day delay clause. Roster changes or last-minute substitutions announced within 48 hours of the match could shift underlying probabilities materially. The settlement window closes 22:00 UTC on 13 June, providing a tight window for resolution confirmation once the match concludes.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
- Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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