Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Roar Gaming face Cloud Rising in the lower bracket of The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs, a best-of-three match scheduled for 16 June at 12:00 AM ET. The winner advances in the regional qualification pathway for Dota 2's premier annual tournament. Polymarket currently prices Roar Gaming's victory at zero, reflecting either extreme confidence in Cloud Rising or insufficient liquidity and trader participation on this specific matchup. The conditional token structure on Polygon means any resolution hinges on match completion within the seven-day window; cancellations or unresolved delays trigger a 50-50 split of USDC collateral.

Chinese Dota 2 qualifiers have historically produced volatile upsets, particularly in lower-bracket encounters where roster stability and recent scrim performance diverge sharply from seeding expectations. Teams entering these playoffs often field experimental line-ups or rotate players mid-tournament, making historical head-to-head records less predictive than current form. Neither Roar Gaming nor Cloud Rising commands the consistent tournament visibility of Tier-1 Chinese organisations, meaning public match data remains sparse and betting markets struggle to calibrate accurate odds.

Traders should monitor official ESL or PGL announcements regarding match scheduling confirmation, as Chinese qualifiers frequently experience delays or rescheduling due to visa processing or equipment logistics. Recent statements from either organisation regarding roster changes or coaching staff adjustments would signal preparation intensity. The settlement window closes 16 June at 10:00 AM ET, providing a narrow margin for match completion and result confirmation before contract expiry.

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.