Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Andrea Pellegrino

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this Marco Cecchinato v Andrea Pellegrino contract at 0% YES, which on-chain means traders are assigning no value to Cecchinato advancing from the Roland Garros qualifying tie. On Polymarket, positions are held in USDC on Polygon and settled through conditional tokens, so the displayed price reflects the market’s immediate read on the match outcome rather than any wider view of the players.

That zero bid is best read cautiously when there is still match scheduling and result risk. Cecchinato did beat Max Houkes in the first qualifying round, while Pellegrino has also been listed in the qualifying draw and related match feeds today, so the contract should only move meaningfully once the official result is posted. In tennis markets, 0% can simply reflect an absence of liquidity as much as a true belief that one side is impossible.

Traders should watch for the official Roland Garros qualifying order-of-play, any court rescheduling, and live score feeds confirming whether the match starts and finishes within the settlement window. The market resolves to 50-50 if the match is not played, ends level, or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner, so the key catalyst is not just who looks stronger on paper, but whether the fixture is completed cleanly and reported by the tournament and scoring providers.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.