Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Leandro Riedi

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this Roland Garros qualifying match at 0% YES, so the contract is effectively treating a Cadenasso win as not tradable in size on current order flow. For a Polymarket user, the key point is the conditional token will only settle to the named winner if the ATP result is recorded before the 7-day grace period ends; if the match is abandoned, left unfinished, or pushed beyond that window without a winner, the market falls back to 50-50. With the trade funded in USDC on Polygon, the practical risk is not the tennis alone but whether the result is officially posted in time.

The 0% print should be read against the very different baseline of a completed ATP qualifying draw, where even modest underdogs can move markets sharply if the higher-ranked player struggles or a match is interrupted. Comparable Roland Garros qualifying contracts tend to be driven less by name recognition than by draw position, surface form and whether the players actually take the court as scheduled. With a zero-implied price, traders are effectively saying either the outcome is already being treated as one-sided or there is no meaningful liquidity on the YES side, so fills may not reflect a balanced view of match quality.

What matters now is the schedule and the official tournament feed. The match was listed for 20 May at 8:30am ET, but Polish weather, court assignments and the broader qualification slate can all affect start times and whether completion lands inside the settlement window ending 27 May at 12:30 UTC. The most relevant catalyst is an ATP or Roland Garros order-of-play update, followed by the live score and final result being posted in a way that Polymarket’s resolver can match to the conditional token outcome.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Leandro Riedi across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.