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Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan 100% Completed Match 100% Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan Set 2 Winner 100% Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $310K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan100%
Completed Match100%
Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan Set 2 Winner100%
Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan Match O/U 21.5100%
Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan Match O/U 22.5100%
Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan Match O/U 23.5100%
Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan Game Spread +/-0.5100%
Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan Set 1 Winner0%
Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to porto: mia pohankova vs katie swan. This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Pohankova and Katie Swan in the Porto, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Pohankova' if Mia …

Methodology

This page reviews Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan on Kalshi UK

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Related Topics

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