Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| HSBC Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Hanyu Guo | 0% Elsa Jacquemot | 100% Hanyu Guo |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| HSBC Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Hanyu Guo Set 1 Winner | 0% Jacquemot | 100% Guo |
| HSBC Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Hanyu Guo Match O/U 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| HSBC Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Hanyu Guo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| HSBC Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Hanyu Guo Match O/U 22.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 0% YES probability for HSBC Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Hanyu Guo. This market refers to the tennis match between Elsa Jacquemot and Hanyu Guo in the HSBC Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 7:40AM ET. This market will resolve to '…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $181K.
Methodology
This page reviews HSBC Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Hanyu Guo across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
- Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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