Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to livesport prague open, qualification: aoi ito vs gabriela knutson. This market refers to the tennis match between Aoi Ito and Gabriela Knutson in the Livesport Prague Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve …
Methodology
We track Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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