Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucrezia Stefanini | 0% Luisina Giovannini | 100% Lucrezia Stefanini |
| Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucrezia Stefanini Set 2 Winner | 0% Giovannini | 100% Stefanini |
| Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucrezia Stefanini Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucrezia Stefanini Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucrezia Stefanini Set 1 Winner | 0% Giovannini | 100% Stefanini |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wimbledon, qualification wta: luisina giovannini vs lucrezia stefanini. This market refers to the tennis match between Luisina Giovannini and Lucrezia Stefanini in the Wimbledon, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will res…
Methodology
We track Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucrezia Stefanini on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
- Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Luisina Giovannini vs … on Kalshi UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Kalshi UK →