Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The Toronto Tempo and Atlanta Dream faced off in a WNBA match on 22 June at State Farm Arena, with the game concluding under standard rules including any overtime. Polymarket prices this contract today at 0% for a Toronto Tempo win, reflecting a near-certain market expectation that the Dream will prevail. On-chain, the market uses USDC on the Polygon network, with conditional tokens determining settlement once the final score is confirmed; if the game were postponed, the market would remain open until completion, while a full cancellation would resolve at 50-50.

Historically, 0% probabilities in sports prediction markets have only appeared when one side is overwhelmingly dominant or when external factors eliminate the possibility of a win. In comparable WNBA cases, such extreme pricing has preceded games where the underdog was missing key players or playing on a severe travel disadvantage. Here, the spread required the Dream to win by 14 points or more, and betting odds suggested a $100 wager on the Tempo would yield $796 if they won, versus $1,263 for a $1,163 bet on the Dream[1]. This disparity frames the current probability as a rational response to the teams’ relative strength rather than an anomaly.

Traders should monitor official WNBA announcements regarding player availability, travel schedules, and any potential postponements, as these are the primary catalysts that could shift pricing. The combined final score was set at 178.5, and any deviation from this could signal unexpected game dynamics[1]. Recent coverage from ESPN confirms live scoring and highlights were available throughout the match, reinforcing the reliability of the final result[4]. With the settlement window ending on 22 June 2026 at 23:30 UTC, the market’s resolution is now fixed based on the confirmed outcome.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.