Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The Phoenix Mercury defeated the Indiana Fever 111–109 in their WNBA matchup on 24 June 2026 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, confirming the market’s 100% YES resolution for the Phoenix Mercury outcome[4][1]. This result aligns with the conditional token settlement on Polymarket, where USDC payouts on the Polygon network are now locked for traders holding the Phoenix Mercury contract, reflecting the on-chain mechanics of resolved conditional tokens.

Historically, similar WNBA markets have resolved decisively when a team with a superior recent record, such as the Mercury’s 5–13 standing versus the Fever’s 10–7, overcomes a deficit early in the game, as seen when the Fever dug out from a large first-quarter hole[3][6]. In past cases, markets with 100% implied probability have rarely reversed unless a game was postponed or cancelled entirely, which did not occur here, reinforcing the reliability of the current settlement.

Traders should monitor postgame media availability, including Head Coach Stephanie White’s comments and player reactions, which may clarify tactical adjustments for future matchups[2][7]. Recent coverage confirms the final score and highlights Caitlin Clark’s performance, providing context for the Fever’s resilience despite the loss[3]. No further announcements or schedule dependencies are expected to alter this resolved outcome, as the game has been completed and verified by official sources.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.