Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
1% | 99% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
1% | 99% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 9% Over | 92% Under |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 9% Over | 92% Under |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) | 51% Paper Rex | 50% Team Vitality |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% Paper Rex | 0% Team Vitality |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% Paper Rex | 100% Team Vitality |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: paper rex vs team vitality (bo3) - vct masters london playoffs stands at 1% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Paper Rex and Team Vitality in the VCT Masters London Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 15 at 1:00PM…
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Mas… on Kalshi UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Kalshi UK →