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Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $434K Liquidity: $964K Closes: 2 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Paper Rex (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Paper Rex (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs Paper Rex (+7.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.525%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)1%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)1%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5)1%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5)1%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Paper Rex (+5.5)1%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Paper Rex (+6.5)1%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs Paper Rex (+7.5)1%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-7.5) vs NRG (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: paper rex vs nrg (bo3) - esports world cup group b. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between Paper Rex and NRG in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 2 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Pape…

Methodology

We track Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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