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Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi UK.

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5) 100% Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Volume: $338K Liquidity: $568K Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)100%
Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.599%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.599%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)91%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5)91%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-8.5) vs Team Envy (+8.5)91%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-7.5) vs Team Envy (+7.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-8.5) vs Team Envy (+8.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.510%
Map 2 Winner1%
O/U 2.5 Games1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-7.5) vs Team Envy (+7.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: team envy vs evil geniuses (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group alpha stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Envy and Evil Geniuses in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 17 at 5:00PM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Ame… on Kalshi UK

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