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OL Lyonnes vs. Chelsea FC - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "OL Lyonnes vs. Chelsea FC - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 70% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 69% 2nd Half O/U 1.5 64% OL Lyonnes 2nd Half O/U 0.5 53% Volume: $210K Liquidity: $196K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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OL Lyonnes vs. Chelsea FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.570%
2nd Half O/U 0.569%
2nd Half O/U 1.564%
OL Lyonnes 2nd Half O/U 0.553%
Chelsea FC 2nd Half O/U 1.553%
OL Lyonnes O/U 0.552%
OL Lyonnes 2nd Half O/U 2.551%
OL Lyonnes (-4.5)50%
Chelsea FC (-4.5)50%
OL Lyonnes (-5.5)50%
Chelsea FC (-5.5)50%
2nd Half O/U 3.550%
2nd Half O/U 4.550%
OL Lyonnes 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Chelsea FC 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Chelsea FC 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Chelsea FC O/U 0.535%
Chelsea FC 2nd Half O/U 0.535%
OL Lyonnes O/U 3.535%
OL Lyonnes O/U 4.535%
OL Lyonnes O/U 5.535%
O/U 1.533%
Chelsea FC O/U 3.529%
Chelsea FC O/U 4.529%
Chelsea FC O/U 5.529%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half19%
Both Teams to Score17%
OL Lyonnes O/U 1.516%
OL Lyonnes 2nd Half O/U 1.516%
OL Lyonnes (-1.5)12%
O/U 2.511%
2nd Half O/U 2.511%
Chelsea FC O/U 1.58%
Chelsea FC O/U 2.56%
Chelsea FC (-1.5)4%
O/U 3.53%
OL Lyonnes O/U 2.53%
OL Lyonnes (-2.5)2%
Chelsea FC (-2.5)1%
O/U 4.51%
OL Lyonnes (-3.5)1%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
OL Lyonnes 1st Half O/U 0.50%
OL Lyonnes 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Chelsea FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Chelsea FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Chelsea FC (-3.5)0%
O/U 6.50%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%
1st Half O/U 3.50%
1st Half O/U 4.50%
OL Lyonnes 1st Half O/U 2.50%
OL Lyonnes 1st Half O/U 3.50%
Chelsea FC 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Chelsea FC 1st Half O/U 3.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 70% probability to ol lyonnes vs. chelsea fc - more markets. More markets for the UEFA Women's Champions League game, scheduled for September 30 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track OL Lyonnes vs. Chelsea FC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade OL Lyonnes vs. Chelsea FC - More Markets on Kalshi UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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