UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing Tommy Gantt to win at 100% YES, which on a conditional token market means the USDC-settled contract is trading as though official UFC results are already all but locked in. The fight itself is a lightweight prelim between Gantt and Artur Minev on the UFC Fight Night card in Las Vegas, and the market only pays out on the UFC’s official declaration of the winner. If the bout is ruled a no contest, draw, or does not go ahead before the deadline, resolution can still fall back to 50-50, so the on-chain price reflects the current expectation rather than a guaranteed outcome.

That sort of full-price reading usually comes from a combination of matchup optics and the way fight markets behave when one side is a late replacement or debutant. Recent previews from the MMA betting press have leaned towards Gantt, citing his wrestling and octagon experience against Minev’s aggressive striking. UFCStats also lists Gantt at 11-0-0 (1 NC) and Minev at 7-0-0, with Gantt the larger fighter at 5'11" to 5'9", which is the sort of profile that often compresses a market hard if traders expect control-heavy minutes rather than a coin-flip striking exchange.

The main catalyst to watch is not the public narrative but whether the bout remains officially intact on the UFC schedule and how the promotion handles any late change on fight night. Because settlement depends on the UFC’s official result, traders will be watching the weigh-in, pre-fight card updates and any late scratches, then the post-fight result page for confirmation. If the bout is moved, altered, or ends without a clear winner, the contract’s fallback language becomes relevant immediately; otherwise, the price should track only the official result once the prelim concludes.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims) across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.