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UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)

Five-platform snapshot of "UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 70% O/U 2.5 Rounds 68% O/U 1.5 Rounds 64% O/U 3.5 Rounds 56% Volume: $55K Liquidity: $32K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds70%
O/U 2.5 Rounds68%
O/U 1.5 Rounds64%
O/U 3.5 Rounds56%
Salkilld to win by KO/TKO?50%
Fight to Go the Distance?46%
Fight won by submission?44%
O/U 4.5 Rounds43%
Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld42%
Gamrot to win by KO/TKO?42%
Fight won by KO/TKO?37%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 70% probability to ufc fight night: mateusz gamrot vs. quillan salkilld (lightweight, main card). This market will resolve to "Mateusz Gamrot" if Mateusz Gamrot is officially declared the winner of the fight against Quillan Salkilld at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 70% for "UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 70% Other 30%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $55K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld… on Kalshi UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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