Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 100% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv contract at **0% YES**, which means the market is effectively saying the event has already resolved against a qualifying settlement outcome. On Polymarket, that price sits on the on-chain market built around **USDC**, **Polygon** settlement and **conditional tokens**, so the key question is not the abstract football fixture but whether the contract’s resolution rules have been satisfied by the match result and any official source used for settlement.
For context, comparable Europa League qualifier markets usually collapse quickly once a side wins by a clear margin, because the conditional token pays out only if the defined event occurs. Here, the available match records point to Maccabi Tel Aviv winning the tie on Thursday, with published scores showing a finished result of either **0-2** or **0-5** in different match listings, both consistent with the same direction of travel: a Sheriff win is not in play.[1][2] A 0% quote therefore fits a market that has already absorbed the competitive mismatch and is treating the YES token as valueless unless the market’s settlement definition says otherwise.[1][2]
The practical catalysts for a trader are no longer line-up rumours, but **official match status, competition reporting, and settlement timing**. Sky Sports listed the fixture for **6:00pm on Thursday 23 July 2026**, which is consistent with the game being played and resolved on schedule; once the relevant result source is finalised, Polymarket’s conditional tokens typically move to the terminal outcome rather than reacting to in-play football volatility.[4] The only remaining dependency is whether the market’s oracle and settlement rules reference the same final source as the one confirming the result.[1][2]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $138K.
Methodology
We track FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv on Kalshi UK
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