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HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $105K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
HNK Hajduk Split O/U 0.5100%
HNK Hajduk Split O/U 1.5100%
HNK Hajduk Split 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
HNK Hajduk Split 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
MŠK Žilina (-1.5)0%
HNK Hajduk Split (-2.5)0%
MŠK Žilina (-2.5)0%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
HNK Hajduk Split O/U 2.50%
MŠK Žilina O/U 0.50%
MŠK Žilina O/U 1.50%
MŠK Žilina O/U 2.50%
HNK Hajduk Split 1st Half O/U 1.50%
MŠK Žilina 1st Half O/U 0.50%
MŠK Žilina 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
HNK Hajduk Split 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
MŠK Žilina 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
MŠK Žilina 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to hnk hajduk split vs. mšk žilina - more markets. More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for July 9 at 2:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina - More Markets on Kalshi UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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