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Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5) 100% Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $360K Liquidity: $873K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)100%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
O/U 4.5100%
O/U 5.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 2.5100%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 0.5100%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5100%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5100%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 0.5100%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Heart of Midlothian FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)0%
Heart of Midlothian FC (-2.5)0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 1.50%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 2.50%
Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Heart of Midlothian FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

The Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for August 6 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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