CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

CD Los Chankans secured a 1–0 victory over Sport Boys Association in yesterday’s Peru Liga 1 Clausura opener at Estadio Los Chankas, meaning the underlying match has already concluded[2][3]. On Polymarket, the contract for “More Markets” on this fixture trades at 0% YES today, reflecting the settled outcome rather than speculative uncertainty[1]. The on-chain settlement uses USDC on Polygon, where conditional tokens now lock in the final result as the event window closed at 16:00 UTC on 19 July[1].

Historically, prediction markets for “more markets” on completed fixtures collapse to 0% or 100% within hours once the match ends, as arbitrageurs eliminate any residual pricing gap[2]. Comparable cases in Peru Liga 1 show that when a game finishes before the settlement deadline, the market price aligns instantly with the official result, leaving no room for speculative drift[3]. The 0% YES price here is consistent with that pattern, confirming the market has correctly priced the settled outcome.

Traders should monitor the official Peru Liga 1 results page and ESPN’s match summary for any post-match adjustments, though no such changes are expected given the 1–0 final score[1][3]. The only catalyst now is the automated settlement trigger on Polygon, which will execute once the 2026-07-19T16:00:00Z window passes and the oracle confirms the result[1]. No further announcements, lineups, or schedule dependencies remain relevant, as the fixture is complete and the outcome is fixed[2][4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.