Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 198.5 | 94% |
| O/U 200.5 | 93% |
| 1Q O/U 44.5 | 93% |
| O/U 202.5 | 91% |
| O/U 204.5 | 89% |
| 1H O/U 95.5 | 88% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 87% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 87% |
| O/U 206.5 | 86% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 84% |
| 1H O/U 97.5 | 84% |
| O/U 208.5 | 83% |
| Raptors O/U 100.5 | 82% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 14.5 | 80% |
| O/U 210.5 | 79% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 79% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 3.5 | 79% |
| RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 1.5 | 79% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 99.5 | 78% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 9.5 | 77% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 24.5 | 77% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 77% |
| O/U 212.5 | 76% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 1.5 | 76% |
| Raptors O/U 102.5 | 76% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 1.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 73% |
| O/U 214.5 | 72% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 14.5 | 72% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 1.5 | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 72% |
| Raptors O/U 104.5 | 72% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 71% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 70% |
| O/U 216.5 | 69% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Points O/U 4.5 | 69% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 14.5 | 68% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 3.5 | 68% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 3.5 | 67% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 66% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 66% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 65% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 50.5 | 65% |
| Raptors O/U 106.5 | 65% |
| O/U 218.5 | 64% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 64% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 3.5 | 64% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 64% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 63% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 63% |
| 2Q O/U 50.5 | 63% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 52.5 | 63% |
| Collin Sexton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 63% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 61% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 6.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 61% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| O/U 220.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 59% |
| Raptors O/U 108.5 | 59% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5 | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 56% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 52.5 | 56% |
| O/U 222.5 | 55% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Assists O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 19.5 | 55% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 55% |
| Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 19.5 | 54% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 54% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 54% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| Lakers O/U 111.5 | 53% |
| Lakers O/U 109.5 | 53% |
| Lakers O/U 107.5 | 53% |
| Lakers O/U 105.5 | 53% |
| Lakers O/U 103.5 | 53% |
| Jake LaRavia: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| Raptors O/U 110.5 | 52% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 54.5 | 52% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Lakers O/U 113.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| O/U 224.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Jake LaRavia: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jake LaRavia: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jake LaRavia: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 49% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 53.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 49% |
| Raptors O/U 111.5 | 49% |
| Collin Sexton: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Collin Sexton: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Collin Sexton: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| O/U 225.5 | 48% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 20.5 | 47% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Immanuel Quickley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 47% |
| Lakers O/U 117.5 | 47% |
| Lakers O/U 114.5 | 47% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 55.5 | 47% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| O/U 226.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 46% |
| Lakers O/U 119.5 | 46% |
| Lakers O/U 121.5 | 46% |
| Lakers O/U 123.5 | 46% |
| Lakers O/U 125.5 | 46% |
| Collin Sexton: Points O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Jake LaRavia: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 34.5 | 45% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 4.5 | 45% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 45% |
| Raptors O/U 112.5 | 45% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 44% |
| Lakers O/U 115.5 | 44% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 54.5 | 44% |
| O/U 227.5 | 43% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 22.5 | 43% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Assists O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 1H Moneyline | 43% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 56.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| Lakers O/U 127.5 | 43% |
| Raptors vs. Lakers | 42% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Steals O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| O/U 228.5 | 41% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| RJ Barrett: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Scottie Barnes: Steals O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 41% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 24.5 | 40% |
| Jamal Shead: Points O/U 4.5 | 40% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| Raptors O/U 114.5 | 40% |
| Jake LaRavia: Points O/U 4.5 | 40% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 34.5 | 39% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 39% |
| Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 12.5 | 38% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| O/U 230.5 | 37% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Immanuel Quickley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Scottie Barnes: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 36% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 36% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 36% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 56.5 | 36% |
| Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| O/U 232.5 | 35% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| Collin Sexton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 17.5 | 34% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 58.5 | 34% |
| Raptors O/U 116.5 | 34% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 33% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Scottie Barnes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| O/U 234.5 | 31% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 24.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 63.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 31% |
| Jake LaRavia: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 31% |
| Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 30% |
| Immanuel Quickley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 30% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 29% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 29% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 23.5 | 28% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 28% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 28% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 58.5 | 28% |
| Raptors O/U 118.5 | 28% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5 | 28% |
| O/U 236.5 | 27% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 33.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 27% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| Immanuel Quickley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| Spread -11.5 | 25% |
| RJ Barrett: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Scottie Barnes: Steals O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| Jake LaRavia: Points O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| O/U 238.5 | 24% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 9.5 | 24% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 60.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 3Q O/U 65.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 24% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 11.5 | 24% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 23% |
| Raptors O/U 120.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| Jamal Shead: Points O/U 9.5 | 22% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Steals O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 11.5 | 22% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| O/U 240.5 | 21% |
| Spread -8.5 | 21% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 21% |
| Jake LaRavia: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Scottie Barnes: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 19% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 39.5 | 18% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Raptors O/U 122.5 | 18% |
| Spread -15.5 | 17% |
| O/U 242.5 | 17% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Scottie Barnes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| Jake LaRavia: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 16% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| O/U 244.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| O/U 246.5 | 14% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Immanuel Quickley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| RJ Barrett: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 14% |
| Raptors O/U 124.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Spread -12.5 | 13% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Assists O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Collin Sexton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 39.5 | 12% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 12% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Scottie Barnes: Steals O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 11% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Steals O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 11% |
| Collin Sexton: Points O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Spread -19.5 | 10% |
| O/U 248.5 | 10% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 10% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 10% |
| Collin Sexton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 44.5 | 9% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Scottie Barnes: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| 1Q O/U 66.5 | 9% |
| Collin Sexton: Assists O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| O/U 250.5 | 8% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 49.5 | 8% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 14.5 | 8% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Assists O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Assists O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Immanuel Quickley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| Spread -23.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| O/U 252.5 | 7% |
| Spread -18.5 | 7% |
| Spread -31.5 | 7% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 34.5 | 7% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 7% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Scottie Barnes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 7% |
| Immanuel Quickley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 7% |
| 1Q O/U 68.5 | 7% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 7% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Jake LaRavia: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 7% |
| Spread -25.5 | 6% |
| Spread -27.5 | 6% |
| Spread -29.5 | 6% |
| O/U 254.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| Spread -33.5 | 6% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 34.5 | 6% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 14.5 | 6% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 6% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 6% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| RJ Barrett: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Jake LaRavia: Points O/U 14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -22.5 | 5% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 11.5 | 5% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 5% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 39.5 | 4% |
| Jamal Shead: Points O/U 14.5 | 4% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 8.5 | 4% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| Scottie Barnes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 4% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 4% |
| RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| RJ Barrett: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
Market context
The Raptors vs. Lakers prediction market currently prices this outcome at 94% YES. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for November 1 at 9:00PM ET: If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postpo…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $518K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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