Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2Q O/U 44.5 | 94% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 94% |
| O/U 211.5 | 93% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 93% |
| 4Q O/U 47.5 | 93% |
| O/U 213.5 | 92% |
| O/U 215.5 | 90% |
| 2Q O/U 46.5 | 90% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 89% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 89% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 88% |
| Heat 1H O/U 49.5 | 88% |
| O/U 217.5 | 87% |
| 4Q O/U 51.5 | 87% |
| 4Q O/U 49.5 | 86% |
| O/U 219.5 | 84% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 14.5 | 84% |
| 2Q O/U 48.5 | 84% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 9.5 | 83% |
| Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 1.5 | 83% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 83% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 83% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 82% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 1.5 | 82% |
| O/U 221.5 | 81% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 80% |
| O/U 223.5 | 78% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 77% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 76% |
| 2Q O/U 50.5 | 76% |
| Pacers O/U 112.5 | 76% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 76% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 75% |
| Heat 1H O/U 51.5 | 75% |
| O/U 225.5 | 74% |
| Spread -1.5 | 72% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 72% |
| O/U 227.5 | 71% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 70% |
| Spread -2.5 | 69% |
| Heat 1H O/U 55.5 | 69% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 68% |
| Heat 1H O/U 53.5 | 68% |
| O/U 229.5 | 67% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 14.5 | 67% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 67% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 67% |
| Spread: Heat (-3.5) | 66% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 9.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 65% |
| Spread -4.5 | 64% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 64% |
| O/U 231.5 | 63% |
| Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 63% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| Spread -5.5 | 61% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 61% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 61% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 60% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 60% |
| Heat 1H O/U 57.5 | 60% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5 | 59% |
| Heat O/U 120.5 | 59% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 59% |
| Spread -6.5 | 57% |
| O/U 233.5 | 57% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 1.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 57% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 57% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 17.5 | 56% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 56% |
| Spread -7.5 | 55% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 24.5 | 55% |
| O/U 235.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 54% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| Pacers O/U 100.5 | 54% |
| Pacers O/U 102.5 | 54% |
| Pacers O/U 98.5 | 54% |
| Pacers O/U 104.5 | 54% |
| Pacers O/U 106.5 | 54% |
| Heat O/U 114.5 | 54% |
| Heat O/U 116.5 | 54% |
| Pacers O/U 108.5 | 54% |
| Heat O/U 118.5 | 54% |
| Pacers O/U 110.5 | 54% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 53% |
| Bobby Portis: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| Pacers O/U 96.5 | 53% |
| Heat O/U 122.5 | 53% |
| Heat 1H O/U 59.5 | 53% |
| Heat O/U 112.5 | 53% |
| Heat O/U 110.5 | 53% |
| Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 98.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| O/U 237.5 | 49% |
| Bobby Portis: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jay Huff: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 49% |
| Pacers O/U 114.5 | 49% |
| Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 48% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Jay Huff: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Heat O/U 126.5 | 47% |
| Pacers O/U 118.5 | 47% |
| Heat O/U 128.5 | 47% |
| Pacers O/U 120.5 | 47% |
| Heat O/U 130.5 | 47% |
| Pacers O/U 124.5 | 47% |
| Pacers O/U 122.5 | 47% |
| Heat O/U 132.5 | 47% |
| Heat O/U 134.5 | 47% |
| Spread -9.5 | 46% |
| Bobby Portis: Points O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Jay Huff: Points O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 46% |
| Pacers O/U 126.5 | 46% |
| Bobby Portis Jr.: Points O/U 11.5 | 45% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 45% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| O/U 239.5 | 44% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| Heat O/U 124.5 | 44% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 8.5 | 43% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Heat 1H O/U 61.5 | 42% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 41% |
| Pacers O/U 116.5 | 41% |
| Spread -22.5 | 40% |
| Spread -11.5 | 40% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 40% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 40% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 61.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5 | 39% |
| O/U 242.5 | 39% |
| Spread -24.5 | 39% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Jay Huff: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| Bam Adebayo: Steals O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| Spread -20.5 | 37% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Spread -18.5 | 36% |
| O/U 243.5 | 36% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5 | 36% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 36% |
| Spread -13.5 | 35% |
| Davion Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| 1H Moneyline | 33% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Steals O/U 0.5 | 33% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Steals O/U 0.5 | 33% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 0.5 | 33% |
| Jay Huff: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Heat 1H O/U 63.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 66.5 | 33% |
| O/U 245.5 | 32% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 31.5 | 32% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 32% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 32% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 63.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Spread -15.5 | 29% |
| O/U 247.5 | 28% |
| Bobby Portis Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| Pacers vs. Heat | 27% |
| Bobby Portis: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 34.5 | 27% |
| Heat 1H O/U 65.5 | 27% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 18.5 | 27% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 11.5 | 27% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 12.5 | 26% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| Bam Adebayo: Steals O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| 3Q O/U 68.5 | 25% |
| Spread -1.5 | 24% |
| Spread -17.5 | 24% |
| O/U 249.5 | 24% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5 | 24% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 14.5 | 24% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 4Q O/U 65.5 | 24% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 24% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 6.5 | 23% |
| Jay Huff: Points O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| Spread -2.5 | 22% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| Spread -19.5 | 21% |
| O/U 251.5 | 21% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 21% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 21% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| Jay Huff: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Jay Huff: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Jay Huff: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Heat 1H O/U 67.5 | 20% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 29.5 | 19% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 19% |
| O/U 253.5 | 18% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 18% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 34.5 | 18% |
| Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Davion Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 18% |
| 1Q O/U 66.5 | 18% |
| Spread -4.5 | 17% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 24.5 | 17% |
| Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 24.5 | 17% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Steals O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -21.5 | 16% |
| O/U 255.5 | 16% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 29.5 | 16% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 39.5 | 16% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 16% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Steals O/U 1.5 | 16% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Steals O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Steals O/U 1.5 | 16% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 1.5 | 16% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 15% |
| Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Jay Huff: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Spread -23.5 | 13% |
| O/U 257.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 39.5 | 13% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 11.5 | 13% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 13% |
| Heat 1H O/U 69.5 | 13% |
| Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 11.5 | 12% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 1Q O/U 68.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| Spread -8.5 | 11% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 49.5 | 11% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| 1Q Spread -12.5 | 11% |
| O/U 259.5 | 11% |
| Spread -25.5 | 10% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 10% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 9% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 9% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 9% |
| Bam Adebayo: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Davion Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| O/U 261.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Spread -27.5 | 8% |
| Spread -31.5 | 8% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 14.5 | 8% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 8% |
| 1Q O/U 70.5 | 8% |
| O/U 263.5 | 8% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 44.5 | 7% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 2.5 | 7% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 2.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 7% |
| Spread -12.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -29.5 | 6% |
| Bobby Portis: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 6% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| O/U 265.5 | 6% |
| Jay Huff: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| O/U 267.5 | 5% |
| Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 4% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 3% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 94% YES probability for Pacers vs. Heat. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 8:00PM ET: If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed, t…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $626K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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