Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing the Cavaliers vs. Knicks contract at 52% YES, with USDC locked on Polygon and the outcome settling via conditional tokens once the final score is official. This is for Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals at Madison Square Garden on Thursday night, and the contract resolves to Cavaliers or Knicks based on who wins outright, including overtime. At current pricing, the market is close to a coin flip despite New York’s Game 1 win, which is consistent with a high-leverage playoff home game rather than a one-sided series view.

The comparable read is that short-horizon NBA winner markets can move sharply on single-game information, but they often stay near even when the spread is modest. ESPN’s live game page shows New York leading the series 1-0 and installed around -6.5, while recent preview coverage has the Knicks favoured at roughly -234 on the moneyline and a total near 214.5 to 216.5. That implies the crowd is not treating the first result as decisive, especially with Cleveland having already shown it can stay competitive in this matchup, even after dropping Game 1 in overtime by 115-104.

For traders, the main catalysts are simple and immediate: confirmed starting line-ups, any late injury updates, and whether the game starts on time at 8:00 pm ET. There is also a contractual angle to remember: if the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played; if it were ever cancelled with no make-up, it would settle 50-50. As a practical matter, any late news on Brunson, Mitchell, Garland or other rotation players matters more than series narrative, because the market settles on tonight’s final score, not on who “should” win the series.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Cavaliers vs. Knicks across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.