Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is currently pricing this Cavaliers v Knicks contract at 0% YES, so the chain is effectively saying the market still sees no settled path to either side before expiry. On Polygon, the outcome is decided by the final NBA score including overtime, with USDC-backed conditional tokens resolving to Cavaliers or Knicks once the game is completed; if the game is postponed, the contract stays open, and only a full cancellation with no make-up would trigger the 50-50 fallback.

That zero price is best read against the mechanics rather than as a view that the game cannot produce a result. The teams already met in Cleveland on 19 May, where the Cavaliers won 109-94, and ESPN’s game page lists the match as a live event around the settlement window with Cleveland at 52-30 and New York at 53-29. In comparable NBA head-to-head markets, the key risk has usually been administrative rather than sporting: a postponed tip-off, a venue change, or a delayed official result can keep a contract open even when the basketball side looks straightforward.

For traders, the main catalysts are simple but time-sensitive: confirmation that the game has tipped, any league or arena announcement about delay or postponement, and the final official score. The settlement window ends at 2026-05-20T00:00:00Z, so a game still unfinished by then would leave resolution dependent on the event status rather than the live score. Recent reporting from ESPN and the game listings on Sofascore both point to the fixture being scheduled for 19 May at 8:00pm ET, so the practical watchpoint is whether the result is officially recorded before the window closes.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Cavaliers vs. Knicks on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.