Nashville SC vs. New York City FC

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Nashville SC will travel to New York City FC for a regular-season Major League Soccer fixture on Saturday, 23 May 2026. The Polymarket contract currently prices a Nashville victory at 24% implied probability, denominated in USDC on Polygon and settling conditionally based on the final match result. This pricing reflects the away-side disadvantage and NYC FC's home record, though the market has priced in considerable uncertainty given the five-week settlement window.

Historically, Nashville's away record in MLS has been modest; the club has struggled to replicate its strong home form on the road. NYC FC, conversely, has maintained a competitive home advantage at Yankee Stadium, where they've averaged above 1.5 points per game over recent seasons. The 24% odds align with typical away-team probabilities in MLS when facing established home sides, though Nashville's recent trajectory—whether trending upward or downward in the standings—will materially shift how traders should weight this contract against comparable fixtures.

Traders monitoring this market should track team news through late May, particularly injury reports and squad rotation patterns as the season approaches its mid-point. MLS fixture congestion and continental competition schedules often force rotation decisions that affect match outcomes. Weather conditions at Yankee Stadium in late May are generally favourable for attacking football, which could benefit either side depending on tactical setup. Settlement occurs at 00:30 UTC on 24 May, immediately after full-time, with no draw option—Nashville must win outright for YES tokens to resolve to 1.0 USDC.

Methodology

This page reviews Nashville SC vs. New York City FC across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.