Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Inter Miami and Philadelphia will meet in an MLS regular season fixture on 24 May 2026. The conditional token market on Polymarket currently prices an Inter Miami victory at 47 per cent, implying roughly even odds between a Miami win and either a draw or Philadelphia victory. Settlement occurs at 23:00 UTC on the match day itself, with payouts denominated in USDC on Polygon once the final whistle confirms the result.

Historical matchups between these sides show Philadelphia has held a slight edge in recent seasons, though Inter Miami's trajectory has shifted considerably since their 2023 expansion campaign. The Union finished ahead of Miami in the 2024 standings and won their most recent head-to-head encounter, yet Miami's investment in marquee talent and improved squad depth have narrowed the gap. When comparing similar mid-table versus rising-investment clubs in MLS, the 47 per cent probability reflects genuine competitive uncertainty rather than a clear favourite, consistent with how Polymarket prices matches between clubs of comparable current standing.

Traders should monitor team news through late May, particularly injury updates and any roster moves before the settlement window closes. Philadelphia's fixture congestion in the weeks prior—if they face cup commitments or travel-heavy schedules—could affect squad rotation decisions. Miami's recent form in May will signal whether their investment has translated to consistent results. Weather conditions at the venue and any late tactical announcements from either manager may shift the conditional token price in the final hours before kickoff.

Methodology

This page reviews Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.