Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Columbus Crew (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Columbus Crew (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Atlanta United FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Columbus Crew will host Atlanta United FC on 24 May at 5:00 PM ET in a regular-season Major League Soccer fixture. The market currently settles at 100% YES on Polymarket, reflecting full certainty that additional betting markets will be offered for this match. Traders holding USDC on Polygon are pricing the conditional token as a near-certainty, with settlement contingent on whether supplementary markets—beyond the standard match outcome contracts—materialise before the 21:00 ET cut-off on settlement day.
Historical precedent suggests Polymarket routinely creates secondary markets for high-profile MLS fixtures, particularly those involving established franchises like Columbus and Atlanta. The pattern holds across comparable May regular-season matchups, where derivative markets covering player performance, corner counts, and card totals have consistently launched alongside primary outcome contracts. The 100% probability reflects this established operational pattern rather than any exceptional circumstance surrounding this particular fixture.
Traders should monitor MLS schedule confirmations and any fixture postponements announced through official league channels, which would invalidate the underlying match and trigger settlement conditions. Polymarket's market creation typically follows fixture confirmation within 48 hours of kickoff. The absence of any reported injury crises, weather warnings, or scheduling conflicts as of early May suggests standard market deployment. Settlement hinges on Polymarket's internal decision to expand the contract suite, a decision historically aligned with fixture timing and platform liquidity priorities.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $206K.
Methodology
We track Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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