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Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 80% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 67% Spread -1.5 61% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 55% Volume: $93K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.580%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.567%
Spread -1.561%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.555%
O/U 8.554%
NRFI53%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.552%
Spread -2.549%
O/U 9.544%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.543%
O/U 10.536%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.531%
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies25%
Spread -1.517%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.513%
Spread -2.512%
Extra Innings10%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 80% probability to washington nationals vs. philadelphia phillies. In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for August 6 at 6:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington National…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 80% for "Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 80% Other 20%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $93K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies on Kalshi UK

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