How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

58% odds: Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Name: Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Start: 2026-06-30T13:02:33.575Z
End: 2026-07-13T23:45:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	58%	42%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Live odds →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	58%	42%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Live odds →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Live odds →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Live odds →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5	58%
O/U 5.5	54%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5	53%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5	51%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5	51%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5	51%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5	51%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5	50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5	50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5	50%
Extra Innings	50%
O/U 6.5	48%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	44%
Spread -1.5	37%
O/U 7.5	34%
Spread -1.5	31%
O/U 8.5	26%
NRFI	0%

Market context

Market consensus: 58% chance of milwaukee brewers vs. st. louis cardinals. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for July 6 at 7:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 58% for "Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals".

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 58% Other 42%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $820K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

James WilliamsPrediction Market Analystand

David ParkSports Data Analyst

Trade Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals on Kalshi UK

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Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals on Kalshi UK

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