Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
17% | 83% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
17% | 83% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Spread -3.5 | 17% Pittsburgh Pirates | 84% Los Angeles Dodgers |
| Spread -2.5 | 24% Pittsburgh Pirates | 76% Los Angeles Dodgers |
| Spread -1.5 | 34% Pittsburgh Pirates | 67% Los Angeles Dodgers |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% Los Angeles Dodgers | 86% Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Spread -2.5 | 28% Los Angeles Dodgers | 73% Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Spread -3.5 | 20% Los Angeles Dodgers | 80% Pittsburgh Pirates |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 17% probability to los angeles dodgers vs. pittsburgh pirates. In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for June 9 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $148K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
- Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on Kalshi UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Kalshi UK →