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Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 75% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 60% O/U 7.5 55% NRFI 49% Volume: $231K Liquidity: $815K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.575%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.560%
O/U 7.555%
NRFI49%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.547%
O/U 8.546%
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees45%
Spread -1.538%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.537%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.535%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.530%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.523%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.521%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.513%
Extra Innings7%

Market context

Market consensus: 75% chance of detroit tigers vs. new york yankees. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees, scheduled for June 29 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers wi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 75% for "Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 75% Other 25%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $231K.

Methodology

This page reviews Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees on Kalshi UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

Sports