LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

Market context

Team Secret and Karmine Corp are set to face off in the League of Legends Lower Bracket Semifinal at the Esports World Cup Group B, a match initially scheduled for 9:40 AM ET today. On Polymarket, the contract for Team Secret winning trades at a 0% implied probability, reflecting near-total market certainty that Karmine Corp will secure the victory. This pricing sits on the Polygon chain, where traders use USDC to buy conditional tokens that resolve automatically upon the match outcome, bypassing traditional bookmaker delays.

Historically, such extreme 0% pricing in esports prediction markets often signals either a genuine mismatch in team strength or a potential administrative issue, such as a roster disqualification or schedule conflict, rather than mere confidence. In comparable cases from previous Esports World Cups, contracts priced at 0% have occasionally resolved to the 50-50 default clause when matches were cancelled or delayed beyond the seven-day window, a mechanic designed to protect liquidity when outcomes become indeterminate.

Traders should monitor official Esports World Cup announcements for any roster changes, match postponements, or cancellation notices, as these are the primary catalysts that could shift the probability from 0% to the default 50-50 settlement. The Esports World Cup 2025 schedule remains the key dependency, and any deviation from the published timeline could trigger the market’s cancellation clause. Recent coverage of the tournament highlights Karmine Corp’s dominance in other disciplines, though specific League of Legends roster updates for this semifinal remain pending official confirmation [1].

Sources: 1

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.