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LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Live odds for "LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Match Winner 87% First Blood in Game 4? 72% Game 1 Winner 71% Game 2 Winner 71% Volume: $656K Liquidity: $891K Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
87% 13% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
87% 13% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner87%
First Blood in Game 4?72%
Game 1 Winner71%
Game 2 Winner71%
Game 3 Winner71%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Game 4 Winner64%
First Blood in Game 3?62%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor61%
Any Player Quadra Kill60%
O/U 3.5 Games60%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors57%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors57%
First Blood in Game 1?56%
First Blood in Game 2?55%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?39%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon39%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)38%
Any Player Penta Kill38%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?37%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors26%
O/U 4.5 Games24%
Any Player Penta Kill11%
Any Player Penta Kill11%
Any Player Penta Kill11%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 87% probability to lol: t1 vs karmine corp (bo5) - mid-season invitational play-in. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between T1 and Karmine Corp in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for June 28 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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