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LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 75% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 72% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 71% Game 1 Winner 68% Volume: $119K Liquidity: $158K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner75%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon72%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon71%
Game 1 Winner68%
Game 2 Winner68%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?66%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?65%
First Blood in Game 1?58%
First Blood in Game 2?55%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?53%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?49%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)46%
O/U 2.5 Games43%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor20%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor20%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors17%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors16%

Market context

The LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend prediction market currently prices this outcome at 75% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between JD Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 5 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win t…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend on Kalshi UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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