Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Hanwha Life Esports face Dplus KIA in a League of Legends best-of-three match within the LCK's opening rounds, scheduled for 15 May at 04:00 ET. The Polymarket contract currently trades at 100% YES, reflecting complete certainty that Hanwha Life will prevail. This pricing sits on Polygon via USDC-denominated conditional tokens, settling binary on match outcome unless the fixture cancels, extends beyond seven days without resolution, or concludes in a tie—conditions triggering 50-50 resolution.
Historical LCK matchups between these organisations provide limited direct precedent for calibrating this probability. Dplus KIA have established themselves as a consistent playoff contender in recent seasons, whilst Hanwha Life have cycled through roster changes and competitive inconsistency. The 100% implied probability suggests either substantial pre-match intelligence regarding team composition, player availability, or form that the broader esports betting market has priced in, or reflects thin liquidity on this particular contract creating extreme valuations disconnected from underlying competitive balance.
Traders monitoring this market should track official LCK announcements regarding roster confirmations, injury status, or scheduling changes through the league's communications channels. Recent roster moves and scrim results circulate within esports communities but rarely surface in mainstream reporting. The settlement window closes at the scheduled match time, meaning any delay beyond 7 May without a completed result triggers the 50-50 resolution clause—a material risk given occasional LCK technical issues or scheduling adjustments.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Ro… on PolyGram
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