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LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi UK.

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? 64% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 62% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 58% O/U 2.5 Games 51% Volume: $295K Liquidity: $683K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
64% 36% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
64% 36% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?64%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?58%
O/U 2.5 Games51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
Game 1 Winner47%
Game 2 Winner47%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?47%
Match Winner46%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)30%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)24%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: g2 esports vs dplus kia (bo3) - esports world cup group a stands at 64% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between G2 Esports and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 16 at 9:50AM ET. This marke…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World C… on Kalshi UK

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