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LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi UK.

Match Winner 94% Game 2 Winner 91% Game 1 Winner 90% Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs Once Upon A Team (+1.5) 78% Volume: $77K Liquidity: $43K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner94%
Game 2 Winner91%
Game 1 Winner90%
Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs Once Upon A Team (+1.5)78%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor38%
Any Player Penta Kill38%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor38%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors38%
Any Player Penta Kill38%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors37%
Any Player Quadra Kill37%
Any Player Quadra Kill37%
O/U 2.5 Games20%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 94% probability to lol: frites esports club vs once upon a team (bo3) - road of legends regular season. This market refers to the LoL match between Frites Esports Club and Once Upon A Team in the Road Of Legends Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 30 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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