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LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Volume: $182K Liquidity: $371K Closes: 21 Jul 2026
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LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Game Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5)0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%

Market context

LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the LoL match between E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS and BIG in the Prime League 1st Division Group A, initially scheduled for July 21 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "E WIE E…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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