LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

DN SOOPers face Dplus KIA in a League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) best-of-three match scheduled for 13 May 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. The market currently prices DN SOOPers' victory at 0% on Polymarket, reflecting either extreme confidence in Dplus KIA or illiquidity in the contract. Settlement occurs via conditional tokens on Polygon, with USDC collateral backing the outcome. The 50-50 resolution clause for cancellations, ties, or delays beyond seven days introduces operational risk distinct from match outcome uncertainty.

Dplus KIA represents one of the LCK's established franchises with consistent playoff appearances, whilst DN SOOPers entered the league as a newer organisation. Historical LCK matchups between established and newer teams show significant variance; newer franchises have occasionally upset established sides, though Dplus KIA's institutional experience and roster depth typically favour them. The 0% probability assigned to SOOPers suggests traders view this as a heavily one-sided fixture, though such extreme pricing often reflects thin liquidity rather than certainty.

Key catalysts include roster announcements or injury disclosures prior to 13 May, LCK scheduling confirmations, and any technical issues affecting broadcast or match administration. The settlement window closes at 16:00 UTC on 13 May, providing a narrow window for match completion and result confirmation. Traders should monitor official LCK communications for fixture changes or postponements that could trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.

Methodology

We track LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.