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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 68% Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5) 67% Volume: $139K Liquidity: $506K Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon68%
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)67%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?64%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?63%
O/U 3.5 Games63%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?62%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Game 4 Winner39%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?36%
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)35%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?34%
First Blood in Game 2?33%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?33%
Game 1 Winner33%
Game 2 Winner33%
Game 3 Winner32%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
O/U 4.5 Games24%
Match Winner19%

Market context

The LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In prediction market currently prices this outcome at 69% YES. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Deep Cross Gaming and Team Liquid in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for June 29 at 4:00AM ET. This market…

Methodology

We track LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
James WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market AnalystandDavid ParkDavid ParkSports Data Analyst

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